Course Profiles / THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
Course Profile · Updated 2026-08-16

TPC Craig Ranch:
what wins here.

THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson · Derived from round-level strokes gained, 2022–2023–2024–2025 · ~76 players per field

Course-fit weights
OTT 21% / 20%
APP 34% / 36%
ARG 15% / 11%
PUTT 30% / 33%
Model — the weights Divot Lab uses for this venue (data blended with course judgment, recalibrated August 2026). Pure data — derived from the historical rounds alone (top-10 vs. field strokes-gained gap per category).

What the data says

Across 4 recent editions (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025), the players who finished top-10 at TPC Craig Ranch separated from the field most through approach play (36% of the total separation), with putting second at 33%. Around the green mattered least — 11% — which is worth knowing when the broadcast narrative says otherwise.

The winners tell their own version: in 3 of the last 4 editions, the champion's best category for the week was approach play. That matches what separates the top-10 from the field — this venue rewards one skill consistently, all the way up the leaderboard.

Course notes: TPC Craig Ranch — scoring event, wedge play important.

How the winners won

Strokes gained per round for each recent champion, by category. The green number is that winner's best skill for the week.

YearWinnerTo ParOTTAPPARGPUTTTotal
2025Scottie Scheffler-31+1.36+3.20-0.32+1.53+5.78
2024Taylor Pendrith-23+1.01+0.13+1.04+0.93+3.11
2023Jason Day-23+0.90+1.59+0.25+0.67+3.41
2022K.H. Lee-26+0.57+1.31+0.68+0.97+3.53
Method. Weights are derived from DataGolf round-level strokes gained: for each season, the gap between the top-10 finishers' per-category average and the field's, recency-weighted across 4 editions with a 10% floor per category, then normalized. Winner rows show per-round strokes gained for the week. The model blends these derived weights with course judgment — both numbers are shown above, and every change to the model is logged publicly in the changelog. Full methodology: how the model works.

This field, ranked for this course.

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