Course Profiles / WM Phoenix Open
Course Profile · Updated 2026-08-16

TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course):
what wins here.

WM Phoenix Open · Derived from round-level strokes gained, 2022–2023–2024–2025 · ~71 players per field

Course-fit weights
OTT 20% / 20%
APP 33% / 32%
ARG 16% / 13%
PUTT 31% / 35%
Model — the weights Divot Lab uses for this venue (data blended with course judgment, recalibrated August 2026). Pure data — derived from the historical rounds alone (top-10 vs. field strokes-gained gap per category).

What the data says

Across 4 recent editions (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025), the players who finished top-10 at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course) separated from the field most through putting (35% of the total separation), with approach play second at 32%. Around the green mattered least — 13% — which is worth knowing when the broadcast narrative says otherwise.

The winners tell their own version: in 3 of the last 4 editions, the champion's best category for the week was putting. That matches what separates the top-10 from the field — this venue rewards one skill consistently, all the way up the leaderboard.

Course notes: TPC Scottsdale — scoring event, iron play separates field.

How the winners won

Strokes gained per round for each recent champion, by category. The green number is that winner's best skill for the week.

YearWinnerTo ParOTTAPPARGPUTTTotal
2025Thomas Detry-24+0.86+1.76+0.19+2.11+4.91
2024Nick Taylor-21+0.03+1.28+0.52+2.24+4.06
2023Scottie Scheffler-19+0.68+2.37+0.38+1.04+4.47
2022Scottie Scheffler-16+1.31-0.40+0.69+1.62+3.23
Method. Weights are derived from DataGolf round-level strokes gained: for each season, the gap between the top-10 finishers' per-category average and the field's, recency-weighted across 4 editions with a 10% floor per category, then normalized. Winner rows show per-round strokes gained for the week. The model blends these derived weights with course judgment — both numbers are shown above, and every change to the model is logged publicly in the changelog. Full methodology: how the model works.

This field, ranked for this course.

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