Wells Fargo Championship · 4 editions, 2019–2024 · 1,637 rounds analysed
Across 4 editions (2019–2024), around the green is the category that most separates players who contend here from those who do not — 26% of the model's weighting, against 24% for putting.
The spread is narrow, which is itself the finding: this course does not strongly favour one kind of player. Weights this close to even mean the field sorts mostly on overall quality, and any course-fit edge here is small.
The winners tell a partly separate story: in 2 of the last 3, the champion's best category for the week was approach play. That differs from what the model weights, and the gap is instructive — winning weeks are outlier weeks, usually powered by one skill running hot on top of the baseline the course demands.
Strokes gained per round for every champion here since 2019. The green figure is that winner's best category for the week.
| Year | Winner | To Par | OTT | APP | ARG | PUTT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Rory McIlroy | -17 | +1.53 | +1.56 | +0.82 | +1.07 | +4.98 |
| 2023 | Wyndham Clark | -19 | +0.62 | +2.21 | +0.17 | +1.87 | +4.87 |
| 2021 | Rory McIlroy | -10 | +0.57 | +1.32 | +0.06 | +1.74 | +3.69 |
Every tournament week we score the field on course fit and player quality. The free pick lands Wednesday, by email, before tee times.
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