Course Profiles / Sawgrass Country Club
Course Profile · No validated fit signal

Sawgrass Country Club:
what wins here.

PGA TOUR Q-School presented by Korn Ferry · 3 editions, 2023–2025 · 974 rounds analysed

Weights — not validated
OTT 25%
APP 25%
ARG 25%
PUTT 25%
Every category weighted equally. This course has not accumulated enough history for its weights to be tested, so we do not score course fit here.

What the data says

We do not publish a course-fit read for Sawgrass Country Club. Venue weights are kept only where they predicted results on seasons the model had never seen, and this course has not yet accumulated enough history to clear that bar — 3 editions in the archive.

That is deliberate. It would be easy to generate confident-looking numbers from 974 rounds of scoring data; they would just not mean anything. Until the signal is testable, every category is weighted equally here and course fit is not scored. The winners below are still worth reading as history — they are simply not a forecast.

Method. Weights come from regressing top-20 finishes on players' strokes gained in each category, using only rounds played before each event, and comparing each course against the tour-wide baseline — so a weight measures what this course rewards more than golf generally does, not simply which skills help. Weights are kept only where they predicted results out of sample; where they did not, we say so. We tested our previous method, found it did not predict, and published that too: how the model works.

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